Social Science Research Council

Something is definitely happening - and there may even be reasons to be faintly optimistic about it. Having presented a ‘worst case scenario’ earlier in this discussion, perhaps it is worth setting out a ‘best case scenario’, looking at the situation from this point on.
First, I do believe the worst case remains a serious possibility. [...]

This is what could happen if ICC prosecutor Luis Moreno-Ocampo indicts President Bashir, erring on the side of ‘worst case’… this should be seen as a scenario rather than a prediction, but I hope it will help us consider the risks in the weeks ahead.
Violence and unrest will follow
In the immediate aftermath, the regime will [...]