Frontiers in Social Science features new research in the flagship journals of the Social Science Research Council’s founding disciplinary associations. Every month we publish a new selection of articles from the most recent issues of these journals, marking the rapid advance of the frontiers of social and behavioral science.

The Effect of Trade Access on Social Conflict

The abandonment of China’s Grand Canal in 1826 caused a 117 percent increase in conflict in counties with canal access, relative to counties without access.

Author(s)
Yiming Cao and Shuo Chen
Journal
American Economic Review
Citation
Cao, Yiming, and Shuo Chen. "Rebel on the Canal: Disrupted Trade Access and Social Conflict in China, 1650–1911." American Economic Review 112, no. 5 (May 2022): 1555–90. Copy
Abstract

This paper examines the effects of the abandonment of China's Grand Canal—the world's largest and oldest artificial waterway—which served as a disruption to regional trade access. Using an original dataset covering 575 counties over 262 years, we show that the canal's abandonment contributed to the social turmoil that engulfed North China in the nineteenth century. Counties along the canal experienced an additional 117 percent increase in rebelliousness after the canal's closure relative to their non-canal counterparts. Our findings highlight the important role that continued access to trade routes plays in reducing conflict.

The Effects of State Surveillance on Collective Action

The as-if-random assignment of Catholic “spy priests” to local communities in Communist Poland reveals that Poland’s comprehensive use of surveillance facilitated antiregime collective action and decreased sabotage.

Author(s)
Anselm Hager and Krzysztof Krakowski
Journal
American Political Science Review
Citation
Hager, Anselm, and Krzysztof Krakowski. "Does State Repression Spark Protests? Evidence from Secret Police Surveillance in Communist Poland." American Political Science Review 116, no. 2 (May 2022): 564–79. Copy
Abstract

Does physical surveillance hinder or foster antiregime resistance? A common view holds that surveillance prevents resistance by providing regimes with high-quality intelligence on dissident networks and by instilling fear in citizens. We contrast this view using formerly classified data from Communist Poland. We find that communities exposed to secret police officers were more likely to organize protests but also engaged in less sabotage. To ensure that the relationship is causal, we use an instrumental variable strategy, which exploits the exogenous assignment of Catholic “spy priests” to local communities. To trace the underlying mechanisms, we draw on qualitative interviews and archival sources. We document that Poland’s comprehensive use of surveillance created widespread anger as well as an incentive for citizens to reveal their true loyalties, thus facilitating antiregime collective action. Once on the streets, protesters refrained from sabotage to signal their political motivation to bystanders and authorities alike.

Menu